Vanishing American has cast some doubt on how worse could become better in the case of an Obama election. I have a hard time seeing how the argument is not just one that things can never improve, regardless of future events. VA also makes an argument that because people haven’t come to demand major measures like a complete end to Muslim immigration, that past events haven’t made any impact on people.
First, a word about “change”. Obviously the change being sought is a change in the direction of our nation. We might visualize what’s happening in terms of Newton’s laws of motion — an object in motion tends to stay in motion unless acted upon by a force. We might define “fundamental change” as a force that changes the momentum of a rolling ball, as opposed to simple change, which is the movement of the ball itself (the continuation of current demographic trends and current levels of immigration). Stopping the ball (though with a view to soon reversing its direction) would be a fundamental change. The fundamental change we ultimately want is for whites to have a land free of recent immigrants and their descendants, and with black crime under control. Any success for particular political parties, pundits, or right-wing organizations is completely subordinate to the main goal.
It seems that VA’s argument has often boiled down to:
1. The people have shown a willingness to follow our political class down whatever harmful path it might decide to go — to vote against fundamental change. This is just the way the people always are.
2. The people who make up the political class are never going to change. For example, Chris Roach has cited statements that would seem to indicate some change on the part of Jonah Goldberg and Michelle Malkin. But given the various financial and social pressures on people like Goldberg and Malkin, they can never openly recognize that nonwhite immigration has been a bad idea.
Now given these premises, how do we avoid the following conclusion?
3. Fundamental change is impossible.
I’m not going to say I have proof that fundamental change is possible. But if we think it’s not, why are we even blogging? Or shouldn’t we be blogging about how to adapt to the inevitable Mexicanization of Anglo-America, instead of what we’re doing?
So presuming for the moment that fundamental change is possible, let’s list some possible solutions:
A. New leadership will rise from among the people, changing the balance of forces in the political class. Premises (1) and (2) are thus correct, but the composition of the political class can change. (For these purposes, the “political class” can basically be treated as identical with the media, including bloggers and alternative media sources.)
B. The pressures on the existing political class will change, making it acceptable for mainstream pundits to realize they have been wrong, and say so openly, leading the nation on a different course. That is, premise (2) is flawed.
C. Events will transpire that will cause people to not follow the political class anymore, to distrust what they hear in the media, etc. That is, premise (1) is flawed. It has conventionally appeared true, but will not be true under every set of circumstances.
Basically, the people promoting an Obama presidency on a “worse-is-better” rationale (to be carefully distinguished from people who actually think Obama will make things better) see a mechanism for (B) and/or (C). VA seems to see a mechanism for (A), although I’m not sure what it consists of. That’s not to say one doesn’t exist — just that I have not seen it adequately explained.
If (A) is the solution, then the main thing we need is to avoid a crackdown on alternative media sources, which will allow a pro-white segment of the political class to develop more easily. However, I don’t see a path in this direction, and it’s up to those who support this solution to spell out a path. I would ask them to spell out the best-case realistic scenario, if indeed there is a scenario that makes things better without getting much worse first.
If (B) and/or (C) is the solution, then it will be helpful to try to manipulate the pressures on existing media in such a way that they lead the nation in a different direction; or make the events transpire that will get significant numbers of people to reject all the mainstream media, and start preferring non-liberal explanations for events.
I tend not to have much faith in (B), since the main mechanism for that would be for mainstream pundits to believe they could use nonwhites’ crime and misbehavior as a partisan issue. Folks like Goldberg and Malkin would probably rather the GOP lose, than have it adopt “hateful” or “bigoted” positions in order to win. They have a financial incentive to promote the interests of their primary sources of income — media organizations eager to appease open-borders advertisers. They also have somewhat of a personal incentive, since they don’t want to be seen by their families and communities as traitors to particular ethnic interests (Jewish for Goldberg, Asian for Malkin).
If (C) is more of the solution, then we need the events to happen that will undermine people’s trust in the media’s inadequate explanations. I have to disagree with VA that people have never been mobilized by disaster. I’m not sure how she can dismiss the backlash against the Sixties as not really significant, when it is in large part what got us the renewed toughness on crime that has locked away large numbers of black violent criminals. Surely backlash against the Sixties could not reasonably be expected to sustain conservatism forever. Even those who have vivid memories of forced integration are told that now race relations have improved greatly – an idea they might well believe if they have not seen firsthand, recently, that in fact, black behavior is as bad as ever. If they have not lived among Mexicans, they also may believe that Mexicans are not comparable to blacks. Roach is correct that “people… grew forgetful of why they or their parents left cities for orderly and gated suburban communities.” That doesn’t mean they never demanded that anything be done, or that they never learned a lesson, and are incapable of ever learning any lesson. They just didn’t learn the lesson that there is something innate in blacks (and Mexicans, who were hardly even around in most places back then) that requires separation of the races.
As far as the other examples VA provided, I think a lot of people did wake up as a result of various events, even if they did not draw the conclusions we would have liked them to. Take 9/11, for example. Support for a response to 9/11 was practically universal. But what, short of in-depth study of Islam, was supposed to persuade an average American, who either knew no Muslims or knew a few ”moderate” Muslims (either nominal Muslims, or sharia-supporters who put on a ”pro-American” public face), that the appropriate response to 9/11 was to essentially suspect all Muslims of supporting jihad – and shut down Muslim immigration? (For the record, I don’t agree with the people VA mentions, who say that another 9/11 would lead to the deportation of Muslims. That doesn’t mean another 9/11 wouldn’t affect people’s opinions at all.)
Race realism is probably even harder to get people to grasp than realism on Islam. It’s especially hard to sort out confounding variables that are used as alternative explanations, such as poverty, culture, and the activities of black agitators. If I had to say why I believe in biological differences among races in behavioral traits, I would have to say it’s just because it seems so implausible that there would be the obvious biological differences that we are all willing to notice, and no others. Given that there are obvious adaptations to various environmental conditions — like dark skin and the sickle-cell gene for people in the tropics, and light skin for people in polar regions — it only stands to reason that there would be differences in intelligence and self-control too. Again, people who have not studied the science may not take away the lessons from events that race realists would like them to. With Katrina, for instance, what were we supposed to learn? That New Orleans is a poor city, dependent on government, and with a lot of black thugs? We already knew that, and in fact, many whites think they would have “looted” too if they had been in the same situation. Blogger Cambria Will Not Yield has written that media voices argued after Katrina that “Anybody would have done the same thing under those conditions” — and most whites agreed. It’s unlikely that whites are going to respond dispassionately to a scientific argument, based on IQ and propensity toward crime, for living apart from nonwhites. The argument that resonates better is simply, “Races don’t get along, and tend to commit seemingly random acts of violence against each other. For whites to live near nonwhites is never safe, and under liberalism, no area is safe from nonwhites deciding to move in.”
It reminds me a bit of what Kevin MacDonald wrote in The Culture of Critique about the Frankfurt School. Jews never attempted to explain anti-Semitism in a rational fashion as the result of specific things Jews were or did. The Authoritarian Personality was an excuse to reorder society in a way that would be more beneficial to Jews, not a serious scientific investigation of anti-Semitism. For the Jews, there has tended to be a “noble lie” that anti-Semitism is just totally irrational and unexplainable. Meanwhile, the Holocaust provided an excuse to write a pseudoscientific explanation of anti-Semitism for Gentile consumption. If whites had a similar lack of interest in why nonwhites hate us, and just treated that hatred as a totally irrational phenomenon, we could turn our interest to how to protect ourselves (keeping nonwhites away) instead of trying to address the “causes” of the hatred.
A final note: I’m rather appalled that VA would suggest that those who have helped elect Obama are responsible for violence that might follow — which is what’s implied when she writes, “Are random people to be offered up as a sacrifice… ?” This seems suspiciously similar to the times when leftists blame Muslim violence in Europe on people like Geert Wilders, Pim Fortuyn, or Ayaan Hirsi Ali. The responsibility for violence lies with the person who commits the violence. At any rate, since anti-white hate crimes, violence, and rioting are already occurring at a significant rate, the status quo is already intolerable. Part of the reason things are getting worse is that we have not been ready to say that what has already occurred is too much. The authors of the Declaration of Independence made it clear that King George had already made war on them; they were just fighting back against unjust authority. We must say the same.